Archive - Harry Crane

Restructure federal grants to universities

An easy and quick win for Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Nov 17, 2024 •

Nov 11, 2024 •

July 2024

Prediction Markets: How they work and what they're good for

Betting markets have become a more popular source for real-time developments of the upcoming U.S.

Jul 15, 2024 •

Real-time information aggregation in prediction markets

The Presidential Market before and after Trump’s verdict

Jul 12, 2024 •

March 2023

How much to bet?

Why the Kelly criterion works in theory but not in practice

Mar 10, 2023 •

Expected Value and Value Expected

Cash and accrual accounting applied to expected value

Mar 8, 2023 •

St. Petersburg paradox

What expectation tells us, in theory and in practice

Mar 7, 2023 •

February 2023

The millennialization of sport

Instant replay has made the worst millennial tendencies a central part of sports

Feb 14, 2023 •

The Data is the Data

The Most Fundamental Principle of Data Science

Feb 7, 2023 •

Losing short-term as a path to winning long-term

Feb 2, 2023 •

January 2023

How Losers Lose

8 surefire ways to lose at anything you do

Jan 27, 2023 •

Never ask a question you don't already know the answer to (ChatGPT Edition)

Further discussion and context on the post: Never ask a question you don't already know the answer to (ChatGPT Edition)

Jan 27, 2023 •

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts